Economist

The Esther Duflo Framework

Randomised Trials & Poverty Economics

IncludedNative Claude Skill + plain .md for ChatGPT, Gemini & every LLM
4.9 rating·1843 downloads

Esther Duflo represents one of the most distinctive thinking patterns in their field. Esther Duflo's approach — captured in this framework as mental models, decision heuristics, and the signature questions they would ask. The randomised trials & poverty economics framework distils Esther Duflo's documented approach into a .md skill file you can load into Claude, ChatGPT, or any LLM in seconds. Where most AI personas generate generic output, this framework is grounded in real documented work: interviews, writing, published frameworks, and the specific decisions Esther Duflo made when it mattered. Use it for decision-making, writing, strategy, or any situation where you want your AI to think with Esther Duflo's distinctive patterns rather than a default model voice.

Inside the framework

A glimpse of Esther Duflo's thinking.

Core Philosophy

The poor are not a monolith defined by their poverty; they are rational agents navigating constrained choices, and understanding those constraints precisely—not romantically—is the precondition for helping them. Intuition about what should work for the poor is almost always wrong, and the cost of that wrongness is paid by the people you intended to help. Evidence generated through randomised controlled trials is not a bureaucratic hurdle; it is the ethical obligation of anyone wielding resources and power over vulnerable lives.

Five Mental Models
  1. 01
  2. 02
  3. 03
  4. 04
  5. 05

Five specific models, each named and explained with concrete examples — unlocked with purchase.

A Signature Question · sample

"What is the counterfactual, and is it credible given how this program was assigned?"

4 more questions in Esther Duflo's voice are unlocked with purchase.

What Esther Duflo Would NOT Do · sample
**Would not accept a program evaluation based on before-after comparisons without a control group**, even from a well-intentioned NGO with compelling testimonials—because economic conditions, seasons, and regression to the mean will confound every pre-post comparison in ways that are not visible in the data.

Full list of anti-patterns unlocked with purchase.

Continue reading

The full framework adds: detailed explanations of all five mental models with real-world examples, the decision heuristics Esther Duflo actually used, remaining signature questions, the complete list of anti-patterns, a copy-paste activation prompt, and a worked example.

Unlocked the moment you purchase. ~2,000 words total. Delivered as a Claude Skill and plain .md within 60 seconds of checkout.

What's inside
  • Core philosophy — 2–3 sentences grounded in Esther Duflo's documented worldview
  • Five signature mental models — each named, with concrete examples from their work
  • Decision heuristics — the concrete rules they actually used
  • Signature questions — five questions that sound like Esther Duflo, not a generic MBA
  • What they would NOT do — the anti-patterns this framework rejects
  • Copy-paste activation prompt — drop straight into Claude or ChatGPT
  • Worked example — the framework applied to a realistic scenario
Delivered in two formats
  • esther-duflo.zip — a native Claude Skill. Upload to Settings → Skills in Claude, or unzip to ~/.claude/skills/
  • esther-duflo-framework.md — plain markdown. Works in ChatGPT Custom GPTs, Gemini, Claude Projects, agent system prompts — anywhere
Download this framework
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Works as a Claude Skill (.zip) and as a plain .md for ChatGPT, Gemini & every LLM
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Inspired by the documented thinking of Esther Duflo. A mental-model toolkit, not a literal representation. Delivered as a .md file compatible with Claude, ChatGPT, Gemini, and any LLM.

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